Human Capital, Not Model Benchmarks, Predicts Hybrid Intelligence in Forecasting

Vivienne Ming|July 2, 2026arXiv

Key Takeaway

Human-AI collaboration success depends on specific collaborative traits (perspective-taking, intellectual humility, curiosity) rather than cognitive ability or model benchmarks.

Summary

This study examines when pairing humans with AI improves forecasting accuracy using real-money prediction markets as an objective benchmark.

evaluation agents alignment

Key Terms

human-ai-collaboration hybrid-intelligence intellectual-humility perspective-taking